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A crazy idea... why not start Cole Hamels game 1?
Date: Mon, Sep 20, 2010
He's clearly not the nervous wreck who just wanted 2009 to end. He is channelling his inner 2008. Remember THAT Cole Hamels? The one who won the NLCS AND World Series MVP... putting him in the company of Willie Stargell, Darrell Porter, Orel Hershiser and Livan Hernandez of players who have won both in the same year.
(Oddly it hasn't been done in the American League.)
His second half numbers have been amazing.
Going into tonight, he has made 12 starts in the second half. He has posted a 1.96 ERA in those starts and has averaged nearly 7 innings per start. His second half WHIP is under 1.00 and is averaging 10 strikeouts per nine innings pitched.
And how did he fare today?
He pitched a critical game against Atlanta who has been charging hard to catch up with Philadelphia... and went 8 innings, 1 run, 1 walk and 6 strikeouts.
He's no longer Bad Luck Hamels.
He didn't let his bad luck get the best of him and in September he has gone 4-0 with a 0.87 ERA and going more than 7 innings per start.
Sounds like a #1 to me.
I say start him in Game 1. Have him stare down the Reds best in the opener AT Philadelphia. Or the Giants or the Padres.
Hamels vs. Johnny Cueto?
Like those odds?
It's an idea... don't dismiss it off hand.
NL West race is going to top ROCKY II
Date: Mon, Sep 20, 2010
It is appropriate that one of the teams involved in the NL West race are called The Rockies, because I am reminded of one of the Rocky films when I look at how the division is winding down.
Each team, the Rockies, Giants and Padres, get a breather today.
That’s bad news for the Rockies (who have an extra day to mull how they blew a 6 run lead and a chance to force a 3 way tie in the loss column.)
That’s good news for the Padres (who could use a day to regroup after a lousy series in St. Louis.
And indifferent for San Francisco (who probably wouldn’t mind another calendar day in first place.)
Then back to slugging it out… which is what reminds me of Rocky II.
(Spoiler for those of you who haven’t seen a 31 year old movie.)
That was the one where Apollo and Rocky were fighting and in what looks like the 438th round, they both took a punch (like you do in a boxing match) and both fell to the ground.
So both guys fell down and both were scrambling to stand up… holding onto the ropes in the process.
The heavyweight title was going to go to whomever managed to stand up. It had nothing to do with records, training, how they fought up until that point…
Just stand up and you’ll win.
We’re at this point with the NL West. It doesn’t matter who is on the roster… how well you played… if you had slumped or gone on a tear… it doesn’t matter how well the GM made trades or who is in the farm… it doesn’t matter who has the higher payroll.
There is about a dozen games left. Great teams can have a lousy 12 some odd games. Terrible teams can have a terrific 12 some odd games.
It is all thrown out the window.
The NL West will go to whomever is left standing.
Grab the ropes, Giants.
I don’t want my dad to yell like Apollo.
Go catch that chicken and win that Division!
(If you needed to have that reference explained, then you haven’t seen Rocky II!)
Is it worth 52 seconds to get a call right?
Date: Mon, Sep 20, 2010
In the 11th inning of yesterday's Dodgers/Rockies game, Rafael Furcal grounded into what looked like a double play but was called safe.
Jim Tracy came out to argue and less than a minute after the play was made, the instant replay showed that Furcal was indeed out.
It was 52 seconds.
All the people screaming "it will slow down the game" need to answer to this.
Less than a minute later we saw the call was blown.
Furcal came around to scoring the game winning run.
The Rockies are now 1 game back in the loss column for the NL West lead and every game counts.
Now granted, if the Rockies REALLY want to blame someone, blame themselves for not holding onto a 6-0 lead against a dormant Dodgers team.
That being said... we're going to have the playoffs starting soon and more and more we are seeing that we have the technology to GET CALLS RIGHT for all time.
Once again, the need to instant replay shows itself.
I think 52 seconds is a fair amount of time to spend to make sure the right team wins the game.
IF THE PLAYOFFS STARTED TODAY... September 20, 2010
Date: Mon, Sep 20, 2010
It is officially late September... and if your team is included in the little collage I made above, then you can have no beef with your GM nor your farm department.
They bought the groceries for a team that made it all the way to the last 1/3 of September in line for an October date.
It's up to each team to survive the next 14 days.
And guess what? I have the logos for the Rockies and the Padres ready to switch out at a moment's notice.
AMERICAN LEAGUE DIVISION SERIES has home field advantage over
TEXAS RANGERS (AL West Champion)
MINNESOTA TWINS (AL Central Champion)
has home field advantage over
TAMPA BAY RAYS (AL Wild Card)
NATIONAL LEAGUE DIVISION SERIESPHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (NL East Champion)
has home field advantage over
CINCINNATI REDS (NL Central Champion)
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (NL West Champion)
has home field advantage over
ATLANTA BRAVES (NL Wild Card)
Yankees and Rays are squaring off... and they could flip flop each of the next 4 days.
Stay tuned.
IN HONOR OF EDGARDO ALFONZO
Date: Mon, Sep 20, 2010
The man who took over for Jeff Kent and had a dynamic second half of the 2003 season...
The man who crushed a grand slam off of Kerry Wood on July 30th, 2003 to power the Giants to victory...
The man who batted .529 with an OPS of 1.320 in the 2003 Division Series against Florida...
And the first player in New York or San Francisco Giants history to wear such an unlucky uniform on his back..
THE MAGIC NUMBER IS 13!
Let's see the Giants stay in first place for more than a few days.
Jayson's Werth
Date: Mon, Sep 20, 2010
Remember how at the Trade Deadline it was a foregone conclusion that Jayson Werth was going to be dealt for bullpen help. He is going to be a free agent and hey! Domonic Brown would take over in right field. He got uniform #9... just like Roy Hobbs.
I wonder if anyone was thinking that today when Werth clubbed that 2 run walk off 9th inning shot in Philly.
Forget bullpen help... Werth closed the game out himself.
That coupled with Brad Lidge finding himself and this could have been the best trade the Phillies DIDN'T make.
I think it is time to forgive them for the Cliff Lee deal.
Brown could wind up with a ring at the end of the year anyway.
Big series against Atlanta this week. I am guessing Werth will come up big.
See Luke Scott's face?
Date: Sun, Sep 19, 2010
This is the face of a man who knows that he just hit a game tying 9th inning homer off of Mariano Rivera.
This is the face of a man who knows that no matter what bar or family barbecue he ever goes to, he will have the COOLEST story.
Game tying shot off a certain Hall of Famer putting up awesome numbers?
If I hit a homer like that, it would be on my business card.
Hell, it would be how I preface a sentence.
"As a man who hit a game tying shot off of Mariano Rivera... I will have these shirts light starch and on hangers."
THE RED SOX ARE STILL IN IT... AND THEY ARE GOING TO WIN IT!
Date: Sun, Sep 19, 2010
I am writing it down now...
The Red Sox are winning the 2010 World Series.
Lester picked up win #18, the Sox bats woke up, Rivera blew another save and the Rays fell apart to the Angels.
The Sox picked up a game on both. And guess what? The Rays and Yankees are playing each other... so if they win tomorrow they will pick up a game on ONE of them.
They are 7 games back in the loss column with 13 games to play.
EASY!
They've practically clinched a playoff spot already!
It is IN THE BAG!
(I've been out in the sun a lot today.)
Is there an East Coast Bias in Awards voting?
Date: Sun, Sep 19, 2010
I've been supporting Felix Hernandez as the Cy Young winner even though I think voters will vote for C. C. Sabathia and his 20 wins (even though King Felix has him beat in every other category.)
But some people, including the good folks at Emerald City Diamond Gems, think that the fact that Sabathia plays in New York will tip the scales his way.
I've heard this before... the votes ALWAYS slant towards New York and Boston and to a degree Philadelphia... and stars in the west tend to get ignored come award time.
This is a terrific theory. It sounds correct.
And it is repeated each year by some writer in the west as if it is a fact.
Here's the problem with that theory:
It's not true.
Let's take a large sample of recent awards...
The Joe Torre era in New York.
1996-2007. A 12 year span where the Yankees dominated media coverage, made the playoffs all 12 seasons, won 6 pennants and 4 World Series titles and seemed to have every star in the galaxy.
How many MVPs do you think they had in those 12 years?
2. Both by Alex Rodriguez in years the Yankees did NOT even win the Division Series. (2005 and 2007.)
Do you know what team had as many MVPs as the Yankees during the Torre years?
The Mariners.
In fact what division do you think DOMINATED the AL MVP category during the Joe Torre Yankee years?
I'll give you a hint... none of the teams played in the Eastern Time Zone.
That would be the AL West, winning 9 straight MVPs from 1996 to 2004.
In those 12 Torre Yankee years, the Texas Rangers won 4 MVPs (Juan Gonzalez in 1996 and 1998, Pudge Rodriguez in 1999 and Alex Rodriguez in 2003.)
The Mariners won a pair (Ken Griffey Jr. in 1997 and Ichiro Suzuki in 2001).
The A's also won a pair (Jason Giambi in 2000 and Miguel Tejada in 2002.)
And the Angels won one (Vlad Guerrero in 2004.)
In fact it is interesting when you break those awards down how the East Coast bias did NOT work.
When the great shortstop era was played out in the late 1990s and early 2000s, it wasn't New York's Derek Jeter nor Boston's Nomar Garciaparra who won an MVP despite putting up the best numbers of their careers.
A-Rod won his with Texas and Miguel Tejada, arguably the least known of the big shortstops of that era, won his.
And there have been two instances in the past few years where players from the Minnesota Twins, not exactly a media hub for anyone except Ted Baxter, won close MVPs votes over Derek Jeter.
I am going out on a limb to say that Derek Jeter gets more media attention than Justin Morneau or Joe Mauer.
Let's take a look at the Cy Young voting since the divisions expanded from 4 to 6 (1994 to present.)
With all the great Yankee pitching over the years, how many Cy Youngs do you think have gone the Yankees way?
Out of 16 Cy Youngs handed out, a grand total of one was given to a Yankee in that time.
Roger Clemens in 2001.
Actually Clemens Cy Young was the only Yankee Cy Young since Ron Guidry's dominating 1978 season.
Yup. The Yankees went through the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s with a grand total of ONE Cy Young Award.
Compare that to Kansas City, who has had 2 Cy Youngs since 1994...
Minnesota has 2...
Cleveland has 2...
Which team has won the most Cy Young Awards in the AL since 1994?
That would be the Toronto Blue Jays with 4...
1 for Pat Hentgen... 1 for Doc Halladay... 2 for Clemens.
And remember Hentgen beat out the Yankees ace Andy Pettitte and Clemens beat out David Wells when he was lights out for the World Champs in 1998?
Now of course there IS an East Bias in coverage.
I wrote about that earlier.
And there's a reason for that... the most popular teams are on the East Coast and there are more transplanted New Englanders, New Yorkers and Philadelphians than there are transplants from California and Arizona.
I'm a case in point. I live in California and am a rabid Red Sox fan... even though I haven't lived in Massachusetts since Ronald Reagan was President.
Oh yeah, also the teams in the Northeast have won the last 3 World Series.
But that is media coverage... not awards bias.
So yes... Sabathia could indeed win the Cy Young for an irrational reason.
But that reason is numerical (20 wins) NOT geographical.
IF THE PLAYOFFS STARTED TODAY... September 19, 2010
Date: Sun, Sep 19, 2010
More shuffling in the NL and no doubt some position changing will be happening in the AL soon enough.
It's amazing to see with all the hard charging done by the Giants and the Rockies that neither would be in if the playoffs started today.
It is still mid September. But after today it will be LATE September... and teams still in the mix need to find one more good run in them... operation "Big Push."
Let's see what the match ups would be today.
AMERICAN LEAGUE DIVISION SERIES has home field advantage over
TEXAS RANGERS (AL West Champion)
MINNESOTA TWINS (AL Central Champion)
has home field advantage over
TAMPA BAY RAYS (AL Wild Card)
NATIONAL LEAGUE DIVISION SERIESPHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (NL East Champion)
has home field advantage over
SAN DIEGO PADRES (NL West Champion)
CINCINNATI REDS (NL Central Champion)
has home field advantage over
ATLANTA BRAVES (NL Wild Card)
A Reds vs. Braves series? One of those teams would be in the NLCS if the playoffs ended today.
Frankly I can't imagine an easier road for the Phillies to make it 3 pennants in a row.
And with Cliff Lee dealing, who knows who will come out of the American League.
There's about 14 games left... I have a hunch this won't be the final match ups.
Looks like the Giants picked the wrong week to quit hitting
Date: Sun, Sep 19, 2010
How tight is this National League West race?
Well the Giants went into Friday night's game in first place by themselves on route to home field advantage in the Division Series.
If all goes wrong tomorrow, they will end Sunday in third place out of the playoff picture all together.
Once again the Brewers pitchers shut them down as their entire run production for the weekend so far can be listed in this heart stopping exciting play from Saturday:
Bot 5th: San Francisco
- M. Fontenot grounded into fielder's choice, P. Sandoval scored, C. Ross to third, N. Schierholtz out at second
Wow!
Highlight reel stuff.
In fact if you take out the 10 run outburst against the dead from the neck up Dodgers on Thursday... the Giants have scored a TOTAL of 3 runs in 4 of their last 5 games.
This is not panic time but they have to find their bats tomorrow night and head off to Chicago.
1 game separates 3 teams with 13 games to play for the Giants.
(Keep in mind the Braves have opened up a 2 game lead and we're at the point in the season where 2 games actually looks like a lot.)
Barry Zito is on the bump for the Giants... and these days I think Giants fans would have more confidence in Ted Striker.
Suck it up, Giants fans... this is your friend now
Date: Sat, Sep 18, 2010
Remember how crappy it felt, Giants fans, when the Hum Babies lost a game despite letting up only one hit this week?
Remember how you ground your teeth to the gums knowing the Giants couldn't get a run off of Clayton Kershaw?
Well guess what? He's your best friend in the world now. Turn off all instincts of rooting against Los Angeles and supress any memories you have of the 1 hit loss.
Kershaw is following up his complete game shut out tomorrow with a game against Colorado... a team that is a more destructive freight train than anything Leonardo DiCaprio could subconsciously conjure in Inception.
The Giants need to be rooting with all of their heart for Kershaw to shut down the Rockies and to see the Dodgers show ANYTHING resembling heart.
It's time to be a Dodger fan, Giants fans... it may taste bad, but so does playing golf on October 5.
Hey Adam Wainwright. Now would be a good time to WANT that Cy Young
Date: Sat, Sep 18, 2010
At one point Adam Wainwright looked like the Cy Young Front Runner...
He was 17-6 with an ERA of 1.99 on August 11 and it looked like a 20 win season and a sub 2.00 ERA were in his future.
Then it looked like he decided to make a conscious effort to hand it over to Roy Halladay.
He had been 1-5 since and his ERA has jumped up .51 points.
Now of course he is still in the mix for the Cy Young and some of his losses were tough luck losses.
But a big win here would go a long way. A nice domination of the Padres would land him win #19 and make his ERA closer to 2.00 than 3.00. And the fans would love him for it...
Not the Cardinals fans... GIANTS fans.
Giant fans have images of a Division Title dancing in their heads and the Padres going on another skid would go a long way to making that true.
So come on! It is fun to be loved. Cardinals fans will love you forever if for no other reason than clinching the 2006 World Series.
You can have San Francisco fans love you too and you don't even need to change uniforms.
So come on, Adam. A Cy Young would look good on your mantle. Go for it tomorrow.
The season may have been picked off at first
Date: Sat, Sep 18, 2010
I know you can never play the whole "alternate universe" scenario. You can't say "That double play killed us because the next batter hit a double" etc etc. You don't know how a pitcher would throw differently or how the defense would be set up if a play unfolded in a different way.
That being said, I am only human and when Ryan Kalish got picked off and that was promptly followed by Victor Martinez's double that would have scored Kalish... I grumbled "How could you get picked off in the 9th inning of a one run game with the big bats coming up?"
The Red Sox are 8 games back with 14 to play. The Yankees clobbered the Orioles with Sabathia becoming a 20 game winner... the Rays rallied against the Angels and won in extra innings... and the Red Sox would have to be perfect to make even a remote chance to win.
If the Red Sox won their final 14 games... went 14-0 and played like a juggernaut... the Yankees would just have to go 7-8 and the Rays would just have to go 8-8 and the Red Sox would STILL be eliminated.
So no... it doesn't look good.
But let's update the tally anyway.
April 26 - 13-12 win at Toronto. (The Sox blow an early 5-0 lead but hang on for dear life in a slugfest.)
April 27 - 2-1 win at Toronto. (Buchholz holds the Jays down for 8 but it takes a bases loaded walk in the 8th to go ahead.)
April 28 - 2-0 win at Toronto. (Daniel Bard wiggles out of trouble in the 8th to help Lester shut down the Blue Jays and finish the sweep.)
May 4 - 5-1 win against the Angels. (Juan Rivera misplays Jeremy Hermedia's 2 out flyball into a 3 run game winning double)
May 5 - 3-1 win against the Angels. (Papi and Beltre homer and the Sox hang on despite squandering many potential rallies.)
May 6 - 11-6 win against the Angels. (Dice-K puts the Red Sox in a 4-0 hole before they even bat. The Sox bats respond.)
May 10 - 7-6 win against the Blue Jays. (Sox blow an early 2-0 lead, take advantage of some errors and hang on.)
May 18 - 7-5 win in New York. (Sox climb back from a 5-1 hole. A day after hitting a walk off homer, Marcus Thames drops a fly ball to start the winning rally for the Sox.)
May 25 - 2-0 win in Tampa. (Big Papi supplies all the offense as Papelbon wiggles out of a 9th inning jam.)
May 29 - 1-0 win against Kansas City. (Zack Greinke holds the Sox to one run, but they make it stick)
June 26 - 4-2 win in San Francisco. (An injury running the bases takes Buchholz out in the second, but the bullpen and Mike Cameron's bat and glove win the game.)
July 2 - 3-2 win against the Orioles. (Wakefield gets the win and J.D. Drew homers twice, but it is Nava's 2 out 8th inning bloop that landed between three fielders that breaks the tie.)
July 17 - 3-2 win against Texas. (Youk ties the game in the 9th off of Cliff Lee and wins it in the 11th with a sacrifuce fly)
July 19 - 2-1 win at Oakland. (Beltre homers and Dice-K holds on to the win.)
July 22 - 8-6 win at Seattle. (Lackey lost a no hit bid in the 8th and the Mariners scored 5 in the 9th to tie before the Sox won in 13)
July 23 - 2-1 win at Seattle. (Bill Hall's barely fair homer gives the Sox the win on Beckett's return.)
July 27 - 4-2 win in Anaheim. (Jed Lowrie's 2 run 7th inning double gives the Sox the lead and makes a winner out of John Lackey. )
July 31 - 5-4 win against Detrout. (Big Papi hits a 3 run walk off double to crush the Tigers in the 9th.)
August 1 - 4-3 win against Detroit. (Sox blow a 3 run 9th inning lead but the Tigers throw away a 9th inning sacrifice bunt to give the Sox the win.
August 9 - 2-1 win in Yankees Stadium. (Marcus Thames' bid for a game tying homer hits the top of the wall as Lester, Bard and Papelbon hold on for the win.)
August 14 - 3-1 win in Texas. (Lester wiggles out of jams and a botched hit and run play kills a potential 9th inning Texas rally.)
August 18 - 7-5 win against the Angels. (The Sox fell behind 5-2, but came back with Beltre's homer, a wild pitch, a hit by pitch and some great Nava defense)
August 21 - 5-4 win against Toronto. (Jed Lowrie hits a walk off 11th inning homer, masking a come back rally by the Jays against Dice-K.)
August 23 - 6-3 win against Seattle. (Scuatro drives in the go ahead runs and Lackey throws a gritty 8 innings)
August 25 - 5-3 win against Seattle. (Beckett throws a shutout into the 7th and the Sox rally for 4 in the 6th in the rain and fog, including a strange RBI single off the pitcher by Beltre.)
August 27 - 3-1 win at Tampa Bay. (Victor Martinez homers twice and Papelbon wiggles out of a 9th inning jam as Lester out duels David Price.)
September 1 - 9-6 win in Baltimore. (A 6 run seventh inning uprising turns an early Orioles lead into a Sox win.)
September 2 - 6-4 win in Baltimore. (The Sox score 5 in the second and hang on for dear life.)
September 12 - 5-3 win in Oakland. (J. D. sparks a comeback win and Beckett gets the win.)
September 14 - 9-6 win in Seattle. (The Sox come back in the 8th thanks to Ortiz's 30th homer.)
June 23 - 8-6 loss in Colorado. (The Sox batter Ubaldo Jimenez around but Papelbon lets up 2 homers in the 9th to lose it.)
July 5 - 6-5 loss in Tampa Bay. (Sox spoil a 5-1 lead and 2 homers by Eric Patterson when Dice-K and the bullpen couldn't hold down the Rays.)
July 6 - 3-2 loss in Tampa Bay. (Sox bats go dead and Kevin Youkilis goes down to injury.)
July 7 - 6-4 loss in Tampa Bay. (Matt Garza comes out of the pen, shuts down a late rally as the Rays sweep the Sox.)
July 18 - 4-2 loss to the Rangers. (Lester loses a rare game at home that included a Rangers steal of home.)
July 21 - 6-4 loss in Oakland. (Buchholz can't hold on to an early lead as the Sox lose the series.)
July 24 - 5-1 loss in Seattle. (Lester's perfect game is foiled and the Red Sox bats die.)
July 25 - 4-2 loss in Seattle. (Okajima misplays a sacrifice bunt and the Mariners rally in the 8th to win.)
July 30 - 6-5 loss to Detroit. (Papi's grand slam makes it a 1 run game in the 9th but Cameron strikes out looking with the winning runs on base.)
August 2 - 6-5 loss to Cleveland. (Beltre drives in 5 runs by himself but the Red Sox leave the tying run on base with Big Papi on deck.)
August 12 - 6-5 loss in Toronto. (The Jays score 4 in the 9th inning to avoid the sweep.)
August 13 - 10-9 loss in Texas. (Beckett can't hold an early 8-1 lead as the Sox lose in 11.)
August 15 - 7-3 loss in Texas. (Young's homer breaks open a tight game.)
August 25 - 4-2 loss to Seattle. (The Sox knock out King Felix but can't score on the bullpen.)
August 28 - 3-2 loss in Tampa. (Buchholz was wonderful but Upton's homer in the 8th tied it and Dan Johnson's homer in the 10th was the winner)
August 29 - 5-3 loss in Tampa. (Dan Johnson once again sinks the Sox with a late game RBI single)
September 4 - 3-1 loss to Chicago. (Manny acts contrite, Konerko gets 3 hits and Danks shuts down a lifeless Sox team.)
September 4 - 3-1 loss to Chicago. (Nope, it isn't a typo. They lost twice in the same day by the same score.)
September 5 - 7-5 loss to Chicago. (Papelbon implodes as the Red Sox blow a 5-3 lead in the 9th thanks to 5 ninth inning walks.)
September 11 - 4-3 loss in Oakland. (Lackey pitches well but the A's rally in the 7th, highlighted by a Rajai Davis triple just out of Ryan Kalish's reach.)
September 17 - 11-9 loss to Toronto. (Lackey gets pounded and the Red Sox rally falls short.)
September 18 - 4-3 loss to Toronto. (Ryan Kalish is picked off first in the 9th inning with the big bats coming up.)
Down to +3.
But odd that the it is still in the plus column, isn't it?
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